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赵成敏表示，一旦台海有冲突的话，韩国的处境左右为难。首先大陆是韩国最重要、最大的贸易伙伴，韩国最关心的朝韩关系从某种意义上讲，也受到台海局势的影响，如果美国人准备要介入台海的话，可以很明确：韩国不会跟着美国人参战，也不会跟着美国去介入台海，但韩国可以向美国提供后勤支援，包括协助撤离、向美军提供巡航导弹、“标枪”导弹等。

图1:台海有事，韩国不会跟着美国人一起介入

赵成敏还特别提到了一份民调：今年8月份时，韩国《中央日报》曾与韩国智库“东亚研究院”就“韩国是否应介入台海局势”做了一份民调：支持者占到22.5%，不过支持者还给出了一个非常重要的前提：美军会直接介入台海。换句话讲：如果美军不直接介入的话，韩国自然会作壁上观。